The commander of the United Forces of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, Serhii Naiev, said that active hostilities could again spread beyond the borders of the East and South, if Russia continues to increase the production of weapons and improve technologically.
President Volodymyr Zelenskyy noted that Ukraine is preparing to significantly strengthen fortifications. According to him, our country has enough mines and concrete. More speed and efficiency are needed.
What do these statements mean and whether Russia can launch a new attack from the North – in the ICTV Fakty material.
As military expert Oleg Zhdanov said, the probability of the Russians opening a new front is a medium-term perspective, not today and not tomorrow.
– Naiev means that if the Russians build up groups of troops in the Kursk, Bryansk or Bilhorod regions, then yes, the hostilities can go beyond the borders of the East and the South, but not today, – he said.
According to Zhdanov, the aggressor may again try to attack from the North if the occupiers achieve an operational pause, i.e. a ceasefire. Yes, in three years, it is quite possible that they can increase the grouping. For example, by announcing another wave of mobilization after the elections.
The expert also expressed doubts that Russia would launch a new offensive in the event of success in the Avdiiv direction.
– I believe that this year will be the last victory or achievement that they can get. But the probability is not too great. They just need to start the election campaign with something, that’s why today they are trying somewhere, even Kupyansk or Avdiivka, where there is an opportunity, they want to achieve success there, – Zhdanov emphasized.
At the same time, Ukraine is preparing for the development of events.
Earlier, the head of the Avdiiv city military administration, Vitaly Barabash, said that the occupiers had launched the third wave of assaults on Avdiivka in Donetsk region.
Analysts of the Institute for the Study of War (ISW) predicted whether the new assault on Avdiivka would become a significant threat to the Armed Forces.