Following Failures Near Kyiv, Russia May Impose “Korean Scenario” On Ukraine – Intelligence
Following the failures of the Russian forces near Kyiv, the Kremlin may try and impose the “Korean scenario” on Ukraine, i.e. some sort of division between the temporarily occupied and unoccupied regions.
The opinion was expressed by the director of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine, Brigade General Kyrylo Budanov.
He pointed out the fact that after the plan to capture Kyiv had failed, Russia shifted the direction of its attack to southern and eastern regions of Ukraine.
Budanov suggests that the Kremlin may try and divide the country similarly to North and South Korea.
– Following the failures near Kyiv and being unable to overthrow the central government of Ukraine, Putin is now shifting the directions of his operations to the south and east. There are indications that he is considering the “Korean scenario” for Ukraine. In other words, he may try to impose a demarcation line between the occupied and unoccupied regions of our country. In fact, this would be an attempt to create North and South Korea in Ukraine. After all, he’s definitely not able to swallow the whole country, – Budanov pointed out.
Moreover, the director of intelligence believes that the Kremlin’s objective of creating the so-called land corridor to the occupied Crimea through southern regions of Ukraine is still relevant. Meanwhile, the defenders of Mariupol that are holding the city stand in the way of the enemy’s plans.
– The invaders are going to try and cobble the occupied territories together into one quasi-state as a juxtaposition of the independent Ukraine. We are now seeing attempts to set up “parallel” government agencies in the occupied territories and force people to give up Ukrainian hryvnia. They might want to bargain over this at the international level, as well, – Budanov remarked.
The director of intelligence added that Russia’s plans are majorly disrupted by the resistance and protest rallies held by Ukrainians in the temporarily occupied territories, as well as by the counteroffensives and progressive liberation of more localities by the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
– Besides, a total Ukrainian guerrilla safari season starts soon, leaving only one relevant scenario for the Russians – the one of how to survive, – he said.
Not long ago, Kyrylo Budanov talked about how Ukrainian intelligence, together with hunters and park rangers, was waging a strong guerrilla resistance behind Russian lines. This is set to begin in the spring as soon as the woods are green. Budanov compared the resistance to the guerrilla movement in Afghanistan and Vietnam.
FYI. As is known, in 1910, Korea was annexed by the Empire of Japan. Following the surrender of Japan in 1945 at the end of World War II, Korea was divided into two zones. The north was occupied by the Soviet Union while the US took control of the south. Their territories never reunited and in 1948, two separate countries were established: the totalitarian Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK) in the north and the Republic of Korea (South Korea) in the south.
Source: Main Intelligence Directorate of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine